"Drought Begets Drought"

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“If you’ve received moisture lately, consider yourself lucky. Otherwise, you will need to plan for more dry times during Spring and Summer 2021,” said Meteorologist Brian Bledsoe of Colorado Springs, Colorado.

Bledsoe was one of the presenters at the Texas Alliance for Water Conservation (TAWC) virtual Water College, held Jan. 20-21. He is the chief meteorologist for KKTV-TV in Colorado Springs and also operates a private forecasting business.

Bledsoe told the group that West Texas and the Four Corners region of the Southwest are the “crux of drought.” Most of the best moisture has fallen in the eastern United States as a result of the La Niña weather pattern.

He shared two computer models which indicate a moderate to strong La Niña pattern with no sign of weakening through Spring and Summer 2021. One model showed some relaxation in June—but the persistent weather pattern will not go away.

There will still be opportunities for precipitation. However, Bledsoe says the frequency of storms that deliver beneficial rainfall will be reduced.

“It’s not good news at all. We all know that drought begets drought. It’s hard to break a weather pattern like this. People should plan for more dry times and be prepared for risks associated with it,” said Bledsoe.

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Drought conditions prevalent at end of 2017

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By Katherine Drury, Education and Outreach Coordinator

Despite above-average precipitation, all of the High Plains Water District (HPWD) service area was experiencing drought conditions at the end of 2017.
 
Most of the District is currently under severe drought status, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. Deaf Smith and Parmer Counties, along with portions of Bailey, Castro, and Cochran Counties, are classified under moderate drought conditions.
 
Though most of the HPWD service area received above-average rainfall in 2017, the majority of the precipitation was received throughout the first nine months of the year.
 
Castro County had the greatest deviation from the annual precipitation average.  It received 26.47 inches of rain last year, which is 13 inches above normal. Lynn County was the only county that experienced a precipitation deficit, nearly four inches below average.
 
So, what is in store for 2018?
 
The dry La Niña pattern is expected to stick around until April, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
 
KCBD-TV Meteorologist Steve Devine said precipitation will likely be below average through the summer. Fall and winter 2018 precipitation may trend toward average. Temperatures for 2018 are expected to be above average as a whole.
 
With this in mind, HPWD encourages everyone to be aware of their water use during these dry times!

  • Be aware of your local landscape irrigation ordinances, and abide by them.
  • Make sure your lawn irrigation system is off during the winter.
  • Check for leaks around your home and repair them. A dripping faucet or leaking toilet can waste hundreds of gallons of water each month
  • Take shorter showers. Keep your shower to five minutes or less.
  • When brushing your teeth, washing your face or shaving, turn the water off until it is time to rinse. 
  • Install high-efficiency shower heads, faucet aerators and toilets. Newer models require less water.